Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.157502 0.187964 0.222231 0.263558 0.311973 0.366815 0.433566
2025-04-13 0.110125 0.148166 0.195823 0.259599 0.342362 0.445747 0.584248
2025-04-20 0.088281 0.129917 0.186412 0.268001 0.382013 0.534736 0.753675
2025-04-27 0.078179 0.123761 0.189736 0.291014 0.441098 0.653488 0.974477
2025-05-04 0.067814 0.114571 0.186235 0.302320 0.483387 0.752100 1.177090
2025-05-11 0.056649 0.101726 0.174601 0.298665 0.501504 0.815870 1.333983
2025-05-18 0.046460 0.088417 0.159768 0.287059 0.504537 0.855454 1.456257
2025-05-25 0.037964 0.076386 0.144953 0.272830 0.500560 0.882151 1.559077
2025-06-01 0.033884 0.071634 0.141940 0.278283 0.530053 0.966006 1.763506
2025-06-08 0.028581 0.063548 0.131550 0.268723 0.531410 1.001418 1.887890
2025-06-15 0.025939 0.060329 0.129839 0.275028 0.562117 1.090757 2.114772
2025-06-22 0.023319 0.056684 0.126703 0.277995 0.586566 1.170692 2.331519
2025-06-29 0.020220 0.051597 0.120213 0.274050 0.598531 1.231398 2.524207
2025-07-06 0.017572 0.047062 0.114245 0.270465 0.611038 1.294985 2.730158
2025-07-13 0.016182 0.045277 0.114040 0.279241 0.650142 1.414551 3.057074
2025-07-20 0.015908 0.046240 0.120251 0.303156 0.724342 1.611912 3.558201
2025-07-27 0.014882 0.045041 0.121150 0.314901 0.773049 1.761158 3.974140
2025-08-03 0.013134 0.041526 0.115827 0.311104 0.786146 1.836342 4.241751
2025-08-10 0.011229 0.037159 0.107629 0.299046 0.778502 1.865677 4.413588
2025-08-17 0.009482 0.032865 0.098885 0.284263 0.762379 1.874303 4.540380
2025-08-24 0.008762 0.031572 0.098050 0.289929 0.796925 2.000848 4.942138
2025-08-31 0.007573 0.028507 0.091745 0.279996 0.791030 2.033032 5.131182
2025-09-07 0.007060 0.027576 0.091444 0.286547 0.828243 2.170389 5.576598